Author Topic: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Spring 2023  (Read 693 times)

elagache

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NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Spring 2023
« on: April 02, 2023, 10:53:32 PM »
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Spring is well underway and here are the latest National Weather Service - Climate Prediction Center forecasts.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for April:



I'll spare most of the commentary and let the graphics speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for April through June:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for April:



Here is the equivalent graph for April to June:



Here are drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for April:



Here is the equivalent 3 month outlook:



I'll quickly note that the heavy rains in the west are causing more and more areas to be either having less drought or drought completely removed.

Not everywhere is benefiting from abundant moisture.  Here are the predictions from the National Interagency Fire Center which is part of the National Interagency Coordination Center.  As usual, these only come monthly.  Here is the April forecast:
 



Here is the May forecast:



Here is the June forecast:



I can't help but note how unusual it is to have June forecast with only a few patches of lower than normal wildfire risk.

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard

elagache

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May (Re: NWS - CPC forecasts - Spring 2023)
« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2023, 11:29:44 PM »
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

We are headed toward the halfway point of spring and here are the latest National Weather Service - Climate Prediction Center forecasts. 

Before starting, I'll provide a link to last year's spring predictions for comparison:

https://athena.trixology.com/index.php?topic=3405.0

The contrast should certainly interest some WeatherCatters.

Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for May:



I'll spare most of the commentary and let the graphics speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for May through July:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for May:



Here is the equivalent graph for May to July:



Here are drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for May:



Here is the equivalent 3 month outlook:



 Here are the predictions from the National Interagency Fire Center which is part of the National Interagency Coordination Center.  As usual, these only come monthly.  Here is the May forecast:
 



Here is the June forecast:



Here is the July forecast:



As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard

elagache

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June (Re: NWS - CPC forecasts - Spring 2023)
« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2023, 09:42:34 PM »
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Spring is almost gone and here are the latest National Weather Service - Climate Prediction Center forecasts. 

Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for June:



I'll spare most of the commentary and let the graphics speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for June through August:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for June:



Here is the equivalent graph for June to August:



Here are drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for June:



Here is the equivalent 3 month outlook:



 Here are the predictions from the National Interagency Fire Center which is part of the National Interagency Coordination Center.  As usual, these only come monthly.  Here is the June forecast:
 



Here is the July forecast:



Here is the August forecast:



As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard