Author Topic: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2022  (Read 1793 times)

elagache

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NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2022
« on: July 03, 2022, 10:47:26 PM »
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Summer is officially underway and here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center for the start to summer.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for July:



I'll let the graphics mostly speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for July through September:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for July:



Here is the equivalent graph for July to September:



On to drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for July:



Here is the 3 month drought outlook:



Here are the Wildfire predictions.  These come from the NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center.  These are in the usual monthly format.  Here is the updated July:



Here is the August outlook:



Here is September:



As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard

elagache

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August (Re: NWS - CPC forecasts - Summer 2022)
« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2022, 10:40:29 PM »
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

It is now August and here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center for the midpoint of summer.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for August:



I'll let the graphics mostly speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for August through October:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for August:



Here is the equivalent graph for August to October:



On to drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for August:



Here I'll interject my surprise at the proposed reduction of drought in the Pacific southwest all the way to the Mississippi.  That is certainly a curious prediction.

Here is the 3 month drought outlook:



Here are the Wildfire predictions.  These come from the NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center.  These are in the usual monthly format.  Here is the updated August:



Here is the September outlook:



Here is October:



As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard

elagache

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September (Re: NWS - CPC forecasts - Summer 2022)
« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2022, 11:10:22 PM »
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Summer is almost gone and here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center for September.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for September:



I'll let the graphics mostly speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for September through November:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for September:



Here is the equivalent graph for September to November:



On to drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for September:



I will repeat my surprise at the proposed reduction of drought in the Pacific southwest all the way to the Mississippi.  I haven't seen any explanation for this curious prediction and it doesn't seem to be born out in the wildfire predictions.

Here is the 3 month drought outlook:



Here are the Wildfire predictions.  These come from the NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center.  These are in the usual monthly format.  Here is the updated September:



Here is the October outlook:



Here is November:



As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard