Author Topic: NOAA hurricane forecasts for 2020  (Read 914 times)

elagache

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NOAA hurricane forecasts for 2020
« on: May 25, 2020, 11:14:15 pm »
Dear WeatherCat observers of extreme weather - preferably from a safe distance,

Those swell folks at NOAA couldn't beat the first named storm of the season, but they finally managed to release the 2020 hurricane outlook:

https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/busy-atlantic-hurricane-season-predicted-for-2020

They are expecting an above normal season putting the odds as 60%.  In their defense, they point out that the Atlantic hurricane season is from June 1st to November 30th.  I suppose tropical storm Arthur didn't get that memo! . . .  [biggrin]

This year the press release doesn't say much about the hurricane season in the Eastern Pacific.  To read up about that you can go to this web page:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Epac_hurr/index.shtml

In a nutshell, the Eastern Pacific is the opposite of the Atlantic, they are expected a more quiet than normal season.  That's good for those who are threatened by these storms, but bad news for the Pacific Southwest.  The summer monsoons that are in part produced by these storms represent a significant fraction of their annual rainfall.  As a result, their drought situation will get worse.

As usual, like it or not, these is the hurricane forecasts for 2020.

Cheers, Edouard