Author Topic: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2016  (Read 3848 times)

elagache

  • Global Moderator
  • Storm
  • *****
  • Posts: 6661
    • DW3835
    • KCAORIND10
    • Canebas Weather
  • Station Details: Davis Vantage Pro-2, Mac mini (2018), macOS 10.14.3, WeatherCat 3
NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2016
« on: June 01, 2016, 11:32:10 PM »
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Here is the latest 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for June:



Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for June through August:




If the long term temperature outlook turns out to be correct, it is going to be a hot and miserable summer for most of the United States.  Southern California is facing a short-fall of electrical generating capacity this summer.  If this forecast holds, then Southern California might be facing rotating blackouts as it did in 2001.

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for June:



Unfortunately, if the June forecast holds Texas will once more be soggy.

Here is the equivalent graph for June to August:



The summertime rains are mostly normal and there isn't expected any additional benefit from the monsoon season for drought parched parts of the desert southwest.

Edouard

Blicj11

  • Storm
  • *****
  • Posts: 4061
    • EW3808
    • KUTHEBER6
    • Timber Lakes Weather
  • Station Details: Davis Vantage Pro2 Plus | WeatherLinkIP Data Logger | iMac (2019), 3.6 GHz Intel Core i9, 40 GB RAM, macOS Sonoma 14.8.3 | WeatherCat 3.3 | Supportive Wife
Re: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2016
« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2016, 06:47:11 AM »
Thanks for posting these, I always enjoy looking at them, sometimes hoping they will come to pass and sometimes hoping they won't.
Blick


elagache

  • Global Moderator
  • Storm
  • *****
  • Posts: 6661
    • DW3835
    • KCAORIND10
    • Canebas Weather
  • Station Details: Davis Vantage Pro-2, Mac mini (2018), macOS 10.14.3, WeatherCat 3
Already had enough heat . . . (Re: NWS - CPC forecasts - Summer 2016)
« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2016, 12:11:31 AM »
Dear Blick and WeatherCat watchers of the summer season,

Thanks for posting these, I always enjoy looking at them, sometimes hoping they will come to pass and sometimes hoping they won't.

In this case, count me as hoping the temperature forecasts are wrong.  May started out cool and even showery, but alas the rains were little more than drizzle.  However, the end of May has been quite warm and this week continues the trend.  I'm definitely someone who doesn't like the heat.   [sweat2]

Cheers, Edouard

elagache

  • Global Moderator
  • Storm
  • *****
  • Posts: 6661
    • DW3835
    • KCAORIND10
    • Canebas Weather
  • Station Details: Davis Vantage Pro-2, Mac mini (2018), macOS 10.14.3, WeatherCat 3
July's forecast (Re: NWS - CPC - Summer 2016)
« Reply #3 on: July 02, 2016, 12:37:36 AM »
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Here is the latest 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for July:



Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for July through September:




For those of us who do not like the heat this is definitely bad news.

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for July:



Here is the equivalent graph for July to September:



The summertime rains are mostly normal and there isn't expected any additional benefit from the monsoon season for drought parched parts of the desert southwest.  Texas and Florida are expecting above normal rain in the three month period.  Perhaps there is an expectation of a more active hurricane season.

Edouard

Blicj11

  • Storm
  • *****
  • Posts: 4061
    • EW3808
    • KUTHEBER6
    • Timber Lakes Weather
  • Station Details: Davis Vantage Pro2 Plus | WeatherLinkIP Data Logger | iMac (2019), 3.6 GHz Intel Core i9, 40 GB RAM, macOS Sonoma 14.8.3 | WeatherCat 3.3 | Supportive Wife
Re: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2016
« Reply #4 on: July 02, 2016, 01:01:49 AM »
Thanks Edouard. I also appreciate your sharing these.
Blick


TechnoMonkey

  • Strong Breeze
  • ***
  • Posts: 127
    • EW9323
    • KTXARANS6
    • TechnoMonkeys Weather
  • Station Details: La Crosse WS-2315 / High Sierra Server / Mac Mini 2.3 GHz Intel Core i5/ 8GB Ram / OS 120GB SSD / Home Folder 500GB FireWire / DATA 8TB RAID 5 / 1TB TIME CAPSULE
Re: July's forecast (Re: NWS - CPC - Summer 2016)
« Reply #5 on: July 02, 2016, 02:46:59 AM »
Texas and Florida are expecting above normal rain in the three month period.

South Texas Gulf Coast.

I had 12.58 inches in May, but only 3.18 in June.  We shall see.  My yard is just now finally drying up.  I'm sure it will piss off the frogs and dragonflies as they had a great two months.