NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Spring 2016

[elagache]

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Here is the latest 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for April:



Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for April through June:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for April:



Here is the equivalent graph for April to June:



These forecasts seem based on a continued El Ni?o effect.  The shorter term forecasts are considerably more uncertain.  Judging the radical difference in rainfall in February and March, these climate forecasts no longer seem so trustworthy.

Edouard

[Blicj11]

I like what I see.
I hope to comes to be.
But the weather man's sweet song
often turns out to be wrong.

[elagache]

Dear Blick and WeatherCat poets,

I like what I see.
I hope to comes to be.
But the weather man's sweet song
often turns out to be wrong.

True, so true!

Reminds be of the old folk song:

Lemon tree very pretty and the lemon flower is sweet.
But the fruit of the poor lemon is impossible to eat.

Reminds me of WAY too many things these days . . . . .

Cheers, Edouard 

[Blicj11]

Reminds be of the old folk song:

Lemon tree very pretty and the lemon flower is sweet.
But the fruit of the poor lemon is impossible to eat.

Thanks for the memory. Lots of people sang it but Peter, Paul and Mary came to my mind.

[elagache]

Dear Blick and WeatherCat strollers down memory lane,

Thanks for the memory. Lots of people sang it but Peter, Paul and Mary came to my mind.

Yup, that's the version I remember as well.  These days I find listening to Peter, Paul, and Mary very bittersweet.  There is a lot of sadness in those songs as well that we too quickly forget.

Cheers, Edouard 

[elagache]

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Here is the latest 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for May:



Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for May through July:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for May:



Here is the equivalent graph for May to July:



These forecasts seem based on a continued El Ni?o effect.  The shorter term forecasts are considerably more uncertain.  The rainy season is basically over anyway, but we'll take any more rain we can get.  Even brief rain events at least reduce the amount of watering needed.

Edouard

[Blicj11]

It has been a much wetter winter for us. The snow is just about, but not quite, melted yet.

[elagache]

Dear Blick and WeatherCat drought watchers,

It has been a much wetter winter for us. The snow is just about, but not quite, melted yet.

We have a wandering cut-off low pressure that has been bringing some energetic weather to our south.  So far it as only brought a bit of nuisance rain to Orinda.

It appears that water restrictions will be at least eased a little in California, so perhaps I can complete automating our drip-irrigation systems.  Even if I can get that done, I'll never look forward to the dry season.  You can tell by the way the plants grow - there is no real substitute for rain.

Oh well, . . . . Edouard