Trixology

Weather => General Weather Discussion => Topic started by: elagache on June 01, 2016, 11:32:10 PM

Title: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2016
Post by: elagache on June 01, 2016, 11:32:10 PM

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Here is the latest 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for June:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202016/Temperature_outlook_June-2016.gif)

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for June through August:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202016/Temperature_outlook_June-Aug-2016.gif)


If the long term temperature outlook turns out to be correct, it is going to be a hot and miserable summer for most of the United States.  Southern California is facing a short-fall of electrical generating capacity this summer.  If this forecast holds, then Southern California might be facing rotating blackouts as it did in 2001.

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for June:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202016/Precipitation_outlook_June-2016.gif)

Unfortunately, if the June forecast holds Texas will once more be soggy.

Here is the equivalent graph for June to August:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202016/Precipitation_outlook_June-Aug-2016.gif)

The summertime rains are mostly normal and there isn't expected any additional benefit from the monsoon season for drought parched parts of the desert southwest.

Edouard

Title: Re: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2016
Post by: Blicj11 on June 02, 2016, 06:47:11 AM

Thanks for posting these, I always enjoy looking at them, sometimes hoping they will come to pass and sometimes hoping they won't.

Title: Already had enough heat . . . (Re: NWS - CPC forecasts - Summer 2016)
Post by: elagache on June 03, 2016, 12:11:31 AM

Dear Blick and WeatherCat watchers of the summer season,

Quote from: Blicj11 on June 02, 2016, 06:47:11 AM

Thanks for posting these, I always enjoy looking at them, sometimes hoping they will come to pass and sometimes hoping they won't.

In this case, count me as hoping the temperature forecasts are wrong.  May started out cool and even showery, but alas the rains were little more than drizzle.  However, the end of May has been quite warm and this week continues the trend.  I'm definitely someone who doesn't like the heat.   [sweat2]

Cheers, Edouard

Title: July's forecast (Re: NWS - CPC - Summer 2016)
Post by: elagache on July 02, 2016, 12:37:36 AM

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Here is the latest 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for July:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202016/Temperature_outlook_July-2016.gif)

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for July through September:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202016/Temperature_outlook_July-Sept-2016.gif)


For those of us who do not like the heat this is definitely bad news.

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for July:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202016/Precipitation_outlook_July-2016.gif)

Here is the equivalent graph for July to September:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202016/Precipitation_outlook_July-Sept-2016.gif)

The summertime rains are mostly normal and there isn't expected any additional benefit from the monsoon season for drought parched parts of the desert southwest.  Texas and Florida are expecting above normal rain in the three month period.  Perhaps there is an expectation of a more active hurricane season.

Edouard

Title: Re: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2016
Post by: Blicj11 on July 02, 2016, 01:01:49 AM

Thanks Edouard. I also appreciate your sharing these.

Title: Re: July's forecast (Re: NWS - CPC - Summer 2016)
Post by: TechnoMonkey on July 02, 2016, 02:46:59 AM

Quote from: elagache on July 02, 2016, 12:37:36 AM

Texas and Florida are expecting above normal rain in the three month period.

South Texas Gulf Coast.

I had 12.58 inches in May, but only 3.18 in June.  We shall see.  My yard is just now finally drying up.  I'm sure it will piss off the frogs and dragonflies as they had a great two months.