Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,
It is the first of February and here is the 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center for the start of Winter. Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for February:
This forecast puts much of the country in below normal temperatures.
Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for February through April:
This is also has the "hot everywhere" feel to it. The exception appears to be due to a colder jet stream passing across the northern parts of the western half of the country just like last month.
Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for February:
Much of the country is expected to receive above normal precipitation, except alas the drought-parched California and southwestern states.
Here is the equivalent graph for February to April:
This prediction once more has northern states benefiting from additional rainfall while southern states suffer. This could be once more an effect of La Nina even if this effect is supposed to fade by spring.
Here are drought forecasts. Here is the drought outlook for February:
Much of the west is expected to continue with drought.
Here is the equivalent 3 month outlook:
While there is some relief in the Pacific Northwest, drought remains for a large part of the West and spreads though a large part of the South. It is similar to the forecast from last month.
The wildfire outlook unfortunately started to become a concern even this early in the season. I decided to include the February outlook:
In comparison here is the April outlook:
Wildfire threats start in Texas and eventually spread to the southern California border. It is hardly a surprise but it is looking like 2021 will be even worse than 2020. For more information you can visit the same website where these images came from:
https://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/outlooks/outlooks.htmAs usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . .
Edouard