NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Winter 2025

[elagache]

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Sorry for the delay, but it is a new year and a new season and here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center for the start of winter.  The one curiosity is whether or not a weak La Niña will have much of an effect on anyone's weather.

Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for January:



Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for January through March:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for January:



Here is the equivalent graph for January to March:



On to drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for January:



Here is the 3 month outlook:



Sadly, the drought forecasts suggest that more areas will fall into drought than regions that depart from it.

Here are the wildfire predictions from the NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center.  As always, these come only monthly.  Since they provide an evolving picture, I'll simply display them one after the other.  Here is January:



Here is the February outlook.



Finally, here is March:



The wildfire situation mirrors the precipitation and therefore drought situation.  Unfortunate, but hardly unexpected.

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard

[elagache]

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Sorry for the unusual delay.  This month has gotten off to a particularly hectic start for me.  Better late than never, here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center for the mid-point of winter. 

Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for February:



Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for February through April:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for February:



Here is the equivalent graph for February to April:



On to drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for February:



Here is the 3 month outlook:



Sadly, the drought forecasts continue the trend from January.

California wildfires are sadly back in the news.  Here are the wildfire predictions from the NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center.  As always, these come only monthly.  Here is February:



Here is the March outlook:



Finally, here is April:



All we can do is hope that the increased risk does not lead to another tragedy. 

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard