Trixology

Weather => General Weather Discussion => Topic started by: elagache on July 03, 2022, 10:47:26 PM

Title: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Summer 2022
Post by: elagache on July 03, 2022, 10:47:26 PM

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Summer is officially underway and here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center (https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/) for the start to summer.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for July:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Temperature_outlook_Jul-2022.jpg)

I'll let the graphics mostly speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for July through September:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Temperature_outlook_Jul-Sep-2022.jpg)

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for July:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Jul-2022.jpg)

Here is the equivalent graph for July to September:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Jul-Sep-2022.jpg)

On to drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for July:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Drought_outlook_Jul-2022.png)

Here is the 3 month drought outlook:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Drought_outlook_Jul-Sep-2022.png)

Here are the Wildfire predictions.  These come from the NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center (https://www.nifc.gov/).  These are in the usual monthly format.  Here is the updated July:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Jul-2022.png)

Here is the August outlook:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Aug-2022.png)

Here is September:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Sep-2022.png)

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard

Title: August (Re: NWS - CPC forecasts - Summer 2022)
Post by: elagache on August 02, 2022, 10:40:29 PM

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

It is now August and here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center (https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/) for the midpoint of summer.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for August:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Temperature_outlook_Aug-2022.jpg)

I'll let the graphics mostly speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for August through October:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Temperature_outlook_Aug-Oct-2022.jpg)

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for August:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Aug-2022.jpg)

Here is the equivalent graph for August to October:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Aug-Oct-2022.jpg)

On to drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for August:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Drought_outlook_Aug-2022.png)

Here I'll interject my surprise at the proposed reduction of drought in the Pacific southwest all the way to the Mississippi.  That is certainly a curious prediction.

Here is the 3 month drought outlook:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Drought_outlook_Aug-Oct-2022.png)

Here are the Wildfire predictions.  These come from the NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center (https://www.nifc.gov/).  These are in the usual monthly format.  Here is the updated August:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Aug-1-2022.png)

Here is the September outlook:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Sep-1-2022.png)

Here is October:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Oct-2022.png)

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard

Title: September (Re: NWS - CPC forecasts - Summer 2022)
Post by: elagache on September 01, 2022, 11:10:22 PM

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Summer is almost gone and here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center (https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/) for September.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for September:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Temperature_outlook_Sep-2022.jpg)

I'll let the graphics mostly speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for September through November:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Temperature_outlook_Sep-Nov-2022.jpg)

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for September:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Sep-2022.jpg)

Here is the equivalent graph for September to November:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Sep-Nov-2022.jpg)

On to drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for September:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Drought_outlook_Sep-2022.png)

I will repeat my surprise at the proposed reduction of drought in the Pacific southwest all the way to the Mississippi.  I haven't seen any explanation for this curious prediction and it doesn't seem to be born out in the wildfire predictions.

Here is the 3 month drought outlook:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Drought_outlook_Sep-Nov-2022.png)

Here are the Wildfire predictions.  These come from the NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center (https://www.nifc.gov/).  These are in the usual monthly format.  Here is the updated September:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Sep-2-2022.png)

Here is the October outlook:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Oct-1-2022.png)

Here is November:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Summer%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Nov-2022.png)

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard