Trixology
Weather => General Weather Discussion => Topic started by: elagache on May 26, 2022, 11:25:05 PM
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Dear WeatherCat observers of extreme weather (preferably from a safe distance.)
The cyclonic storm season is close at hand and NOAA has released it hurricane forecasts for the waters around the United States. In addition, it has provided the habitual press release which you can find here:
https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2022-atlantic-hurricane-season (https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2022-atlantic-hurricane-season)
Once more La Niña is blamed for a projected above-normal hurricane season in the Atlantic. If you prefer the "Reader's Digest" version, you can find the summary outlook for the Atlantic here:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml (https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml)
Unfortunately, the discussion is much more technical. However if you wade through it, you can understand the numerous uncertainties associated with these sorts of seasonal outlooks.
Those of us on the western coast of the United States have an interest in hurricane activity in the eastern Pacific. The outlook for that region can be found here:
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Epac_hurr/index.shtml (https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Epac_hurr/index.shtml)
Looking at both, you will note a considerable amount of shared "boilerplate." The punch line is that the eastern Pacific is expecting a below-normal hurricane season. That is of course unfortunate for those regions that count on summer monsoonal rains as part of the precipitation budget. La Niña continues to give those in the west:
d'em drought blues . . . . . . . (http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/Custom_emoticons/desert-smiley.gif)
Oh well, . . . . . . Edouard
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Dear WeatherCat observers of extreme weather (preferably from a safe distance,)
We are still in May and the hurricane season doesn't officially start until June, but we already have the first named storm of the season: Agatha (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac#Agatha). It turns out to be in the Eastern Pacific:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac#Agatha (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac#Agatha)
In general, cyclone storms form earlier in the year in the Eastern Pacific than that Atlantic, but the Eastern Pacific hurricane season was supposed to be below normal. It is another grim indication that the atmospheric/oceanic system has a lot of energy with which to produce the weather we must deal with.
Oh well, . . . . Edouard
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Dear WeatherCat observers of extreme weather (preferably from a safe distance,)
If you keep an eye on the hurricanes around the Americas you might have noticed something which puzzles me. Back in May tropical storm Agatha crossed from the Eastern Pacific into the Caribbean. When that happened, it was renamed to be consistent with the Atlantic names, becoming: Alex. We just had a second named storm in the Atlantic: Bonnie. This storm crossed the other way: from the Caribbean to the Eastern Pacific. However, this time it kept its name: Bonnie.
Does anybody know why Atlantic storms keep their names when moving West across central America, but Eastern Pacific storms lose their names when moving East?
A curious mind would like to know!
Edouard