Trixology

Weather => General Weather Discussion => Topic started by: elagache on April 02, 2022, 10:03:52 PM

Title: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Spring 2022
Post by: elagache on April 02, 2022, 10:03:52 PM

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Spring is well underway and here are the latest National Weather Service - Climate Prediction Center forecasts.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for April:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Temperature_outlook_Apr-2022.jpg)

I'll spare most of the commentary and let the graphics speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for April through June:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Temperature_outlook_Apr-Jun-2022.jpg)

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for April:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Apr-2022.jpg)

Here is the equivalent graph for April to June:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Apr-Jun-2022.jpg)

Here are drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for April:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Drought_outlook_Apr-2022.png)

Here I will insert a link to the the NOAA Spring outlook:

https://www.noaa.gov/news/spring-outlook-drought-to-expand-amid-warmer-conditions (https://www.noaa.gov/news/spring-outlook-drought-to-expand-amid-warmer-conditions)

The headline reads: "Drought to expand amid warmer conditions."

Here is the equivalent 3 month outlook:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Drought_outlook_Apr-Jun-2022.png)

Alas, it is clear that the wildfire season is going to start early.  Here are the predictions from the National Interagency Fire Center which is part of the National Interagency Coordination Center (https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/index.htm).  As usual, these only come monthly.  Here is the April forecast:
 

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Apr-2022.png)

Here is the May forecast:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Wildfire_outlook_May-2022.png)

Here is the June forecast:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Jun-2022.png)

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard

Title: Re: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Spring 2022
Post by: Blicj11 on April 03, 2022, 03:43:39 PM

Dang. Not too much to look forward to, weather-wise, if you live where I do. Drought is serious and disconcerting.

Title: May outlooks (NWS - CPC forecasts - Spring 2022)
Post by: elagache on May 04, 2022, 10:53:31 PM

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Mid-spring has arrived and here are the latest National Weather Service - Climate Prediction Center forecasts.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for May:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Temperature_outlook_May-2022.jpg)

I'll spare most of the commentary and let the graphics speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for May through July:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Temperature_outlook_May-Jul-2022.jpg)

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for May:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Precipitation_outlook_May-2022.jpg)

Here is the equivalent graph for May to July:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Precipitation_outlook_May-Jul-2022.jpg)

Here are drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for May:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Drought_outlook_May-2022.png)

Here is the equivalent 3 month outlook:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Drought_outlook_May-Jul-2022.png)

Alas, wildfire concerns are already with us.  Here are the predictions from the National Interagency Fire Center which is part of the National Interagency Coordination Center (https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/index.htm).  As usual, these only come monthly.  Here is the May forecast:
 

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Wildfire_outlook_May-1-2022.png)

Here is the June forecast:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Jun-1-2022.png)

Here is the July forecast:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Jul-2022.png)

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard

Title: Re: NWS - Climate Prediction Center forecasts - Spring 2022
Post by: Blicj11 on May 05, 2022, 02:08:36 AM

Another dry, windy summer of wildfires is what I am predicting for the West. I don't predict based on science, just emotion. But I bet I'm right. Darn it.

Title: June outlooks (NWS - CPC forecasts - Spring 2022)
Post by: elagache on June 02, 2022, 11:46:14 PM

Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Spring is almost gone, summer is almost here, and here are the latest National Weather Service - Climate Prediction Center forecasts.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for June:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Temperature_outlook_Jun-2022.jpg)

As is the new normal, I'll spare most of the commentary and let the graphics speak for themselves.

Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for June through August:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Temperature_outlook_Jun-Aug-2022.jpg)

Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for June:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Jun-2022.jpg)

Here is the equivalent graph for June to August:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Precipitation_outlook_Jun-Aug-2022.jpg)

Here are drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for June:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Drought_outlook_Jun-2022.png)

Here is the equivalent 3 month outlook:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Drought_outlook_Jun-Aug-2022.png)

Alas, parts of the country are already fighting wildfires.  Here are the predictions from the National Interagency Fire Center which is part of the National Interagency Coordination Center (https://www.nifc.gov/nicc/index.htm).  As usual, these only come monthly.  Here is the June forecast:
 
(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Jun-2-2022.png)

Here is the July forecast:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Jul-1-2022.png)

Here is the August forecast:

(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/NWS-CPC%20Forecasts%20Spring%202022/Wildfire_outlook_Aug-2022.png)

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard