Trixology
Weather => General Weather Discussion => Topic started by: elagache on September 08, 2017, 11:58:12 PM
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Dear WeatherCat extreme weather watchers,
Hurricane Irma has definitely caught the attention of most of the country. Given its current trajectory, at least one WeatherCatter seems posed to get an awful lot of rain. How are all you WeatherCatter dealing with the approach of Irma?
Definitely play it on the safe side!
Edouard
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I am curious to a WeatherCatter report, too...
But as Edouard pointed out: Be safe when you are reporting!
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Dear Reinhard and WeatherCat observers of extreme weather,
I am curious to a WeatherCatter report, too...
But as Edouard pointed out: Be safe when you are reporting!
Well it won't happen until late Tuesday into Wednesday, but if Irma continues on track, Western Tennessee looks to be getting an awful lot of rain. That would seem to put a certain former driver of Airbus aircraft into a decidedly damp situation. What say you X-Air?
Cheers, Edouard
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I'm still watching the track. The winds aloft, as seen in Windy.com show the jet way north, so it won't be much help in pushing Irma, or what's left of her, eastward. Fortunately, we've had a bit over a week to dry out from Harvey, so the ditches, creeks, and rivers should be able to handle the rain. It will also help that it won't be in a position to draw liquid from the Gulf the way Harvey did.
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Dear X-Air and WeatherCat inverse drought sufferers,
I'm still watching the track. The winds aloft, as seen in Windy.com show the jet way north, so it won't be much help in pushing Irma, or what's left of her, eastward. Fortunately, we've had a bit over a week to dry out from Harvey, so the ditches, creeks, and rivers should be able to handle the rain. It will also help that it won't be in a position to draw liquid from the Gulf the way Harvey did.
Glad to hear it! The climate prediction center was suggesting that the South would be rather wet this Summer. This time their outlooks were much more on the mark!
I hope neither your home nor your station will be any worse for Irma!
Cheers, Edouard
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then we have Hurricane Jose also heading that way, but I guess that happiness comes later
[banghead]
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Irma is nothing more than a very disorganized area of rain, and mostly the low cloud variety. Light rain, mist and drizzle. Rain started about 2am, totals only .67 inches in 8 hours.
"She" actually seems to be still moving westward and back south. Looks like it wants to return to the Gulf! Lonely for it's home? [rolleyes2]
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Dear Weatheraardvark, X-Air, and WeatherCat hurricane watchers,
then we have Hurricane Jose also heading that way, but I guess that happiness comes later
[banghead]
Not any reason to lower one's vigilance just yet, but Jose seems to be making a sequence of circles in the open Atlantic. At the moment, it is not showing any inclinations to start moving toward to the United States.
Cheers, Edouard
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Dear WeatherCat extreme weather watchers,
After going around in a few circles, hurricane Jose at least threatened to plow up the Eastern seaboard. The latest forecast for Jose's trajectory is further out to sea, but it is likely to bring some strong waves and heavy rains to the East coast of the United States. Anybody in need of battening down the hatches?
In the coming attractions department, there is now tropical storms Lee and Maria. Both are expected to take a similar trajectory to Irma and Harvey and head into the central Caribbean. On the other side of the United States things are also active with tropical storms Norma and Otis. It has definitely been a busy year for cyclonic disturbances.
Cheers, Edouard
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Dear WeatherCat observers of extreme weather (preferably from a safe distance!)
Sure has been a busy Atlantic hurricane season. I've lost track of some of them, but now hurricane Nate is expected to plow into Louisiana and Mississippi before drifting East. Once more Tennessee is likely to get another dose of heavy rain. Are there any WeatherCatters in harm's way of this latest storm?
Cheers, Edouard
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I have/had an 'interest' in a generic, small, nondescript lot in an aging 'development' in Pass Christian, MS. It has been, hopefully, been 'awarded' to the people who paid the taxes for it. ThU5:-) Although it is 7 feet AMSL, it is nothing more than a liability to the 11 remaining I inheritors, only one of whom are human! If Nate is as bad as Kitrina, a few of the pine trees may be downed and a few cubic yards of sand may be moved/removed/added. [rolleyes2]
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Still getting rain from hurricanes while upper Montana had the first true blizzard of the season with 30 inches of snow in the Havre area. Can't help but wonder what this winter will bring to the eastern US. Just this past week I changed the oil in my snowblower, put in fresh ethanol-free gas, changed the air filter and spark plug, inspected the belts and adjusted tension on the tracks, coated the chutes with Ariens Sno-Jet. And picked up some new shear pins, I always seem to hit something every winter when helping neighbors get out after big ones. Last winter I was plowing out a neighbor who was away on vacation and managed to hit two newspapers which had been pitched on his driveway before the snow started. Naturally they got caught in the auger and sheared the auger pin. It was so tightly plugged up, I decided to drive the snowblower back to my garage where it was warmer. Spent the better part of an hour cleaning everything out and installing a new shear pin. A couple scrapped knuckles and a few choice words rounded out that job before I went back to finish clearing his driveway. Luckily, no more newspapers were found.
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Felix thanks for sharing your adventure whilst blowing the snow for your neighbour. No good deed goes unpunished.
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Dear X-Air, Felix, Blick, and WeatherCat folks who cope with the weather as best they can.
I have/had an 'interest' in a generic, small, nondescript lot in an aging 'development' in Pass Christian, MS.
. . . .
Doesn't sound like you have too much to lose in Mississippi, but it does sound like you are in for a period of wet weather early next week.
Still getting rain from hurricanes while upper Montana had the first true blizzard of the season with 30 inches of snow in the Havre area. Can't help but wonder what this winter will bring to the eastern US.
. . .
Bummer on your snowblower and the newspapers. I see abandoned newspapers all the time on people's driveways. Somehow it doesn't seem that difficult to dump then in the recycle can.
As to this winter's weather . . . . . . I absolutely agree with you - caution is the best policy. I'm starting on the winter preparations and hope to be ready before we see the next "atmospheric river." These has been coming with increasing regularity.
Cheers, Edouard
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I changed the oil in my snowblower
What is "snow blower"? And why would you have "snow" all over your driveway (or a neighbors!)? [biggrin] You sound like the kind of neighbors we have around here. You are welcome to join us anytime, and we don't allow snow more than every other year! And ours must automatically melt/clear itself within 24 hours! Of course, even a half inch virtually closes all roads... I think people are so mesmerized by the falling flakes that they don't look further than ten feet in front of the car! [snow]
As for Nate, latest forecast map shows lots of high pressure to our west & north, a cold front to push through with little precip. Had a few sprinkles this morning, not even enough to tip the bucket. We could use some rain after a nice dry harvest season! ThU32:-)
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Dear X-Air and WeatherCat observers of storm activity,
As for Nate, latest forecast map shows lots of high pressure to our west & north, a cold front to push through with little precip. Had a few sprinkles this morning, not even enough to tip the bucket. We could use some rain after a nice dry harvest season! ThU32:-)
Nate is only a category 1 storm, so indeed it won't be much of a problem for anybody. Still the National Hurricane Center is predicting between 1 and 2 inches of rain for Tennessee. So your wish should be granted! [rain2]
Cheers, Edouard
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Just remember, TN is a very long state (west to east), not very wide (north to south). Almost the same in the opposite directions. [lol] [440 miles long and 120 miles wide] Rather like northern CA having rain forests [rain2] and the hottest desert [sun2] in the country! ;) I noticed the animated WU consolidated radar display even has the narrow band of rain in AR moving in a northwest direction, exactly opposite of the storm (low pressure) circulation. I predict with 100% assurance that TN will get some to no rain out of Nate (and all other hurricanes for the next 106.3 yrs. Forecasts after that are cloudy!). ThU32:-) [rolleyes2]
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Dear X-Air and WeatherCat observers of energetic weather,
Well when I wrote my posting, the National Hurricane Center was still predicting that all of Tennessee was going to get at least some rain. However, in 12 hours they revised their forecast causing Nate to move much more to the East which leaves Tennessee indeed mostly dry. The latest forecast leaves only the eastern most bit of Tennessee getting any rain from Nate. It is now officially washed up as the final advisory has been issued. However, there is a "disturbance" (official lingo) with a greater than 70% chance of becoming a hurricane in the Atlantic. So as usual . . . . . .
Stay tuned! (http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/Custom_emoticons/tune_in_TV_emoticon.gif)
Cheers, Edouard [cheers1]
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Dear WeatherCat tropical disturbance watchers,
Those of you who were "staying tuned" might have noticed that the "disturbance" (official lingo) with a greater than 70% chance of becoming a hurricane eventually became hurricane Ophelia. Considering that Ophelia is Hamlet's "girlfriend" in the Shakespeare play, perhaps it isn't too much of a surprise that this hurricane is now headed toward that general location. According to the current National Hurricane Center prediction (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/204751.shtml?cone#contents), Ireland appears to be facing hurricane force winds (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/204751.shtml?tswind120#contents) on Monday. By Tuesday, even our fearless leader Stu might have more rain and wind than his weather instruments have encountered in a long while. Stu might even have some new records for WeatherCat to chalk up.
So which of you on da' other side of da' pond is in harm's way of Ophelia?
Never a dull moment in WeatherCatLand! . . . . . [biggrin]
Cheers, Edouard [cheers1]
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Dear WeatherCat tropical disturbance watchers,
The latest forecast for Ophelia leaves it plowing over Scotland on Tuesday. The forecast cone could bring it almost on top of Stu stations with winds potentially at hurricane strength. That should give his installation of WeatherCat a healthy workout!
In the meantime, the National Hurricane Center has issued a statement on yet another "disturbance:"
A broad area of low pressure centered just east of the northern Leeward Islands is accompanied by numerous showers and squalls mainly to the east of the center. This activity is expected to spread over the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands today and Sunday. Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the next couple of days, but the environment could turn a little more favorable for some development early next week when the system begins to move northward and then recurves over the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
- Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
- Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
So if you thought we might finally be seeing the beginning of the end of the 2017 hurricane season, . . . . . . perhaps not! (http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/Custom_emoticons/eek-sign.gif)
Cheers, Edouard [cheers1]