LOOKING FOR WETTER WEATHER? LONG RANGE
FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT BIG PATTERN CHANGES STARTING AROUND
MARCH 8TH.
Ouch! Hope you heal from the fall. I've been to Monarch Pass, but never in the winter. We still have 34 inches of snow on the ground here. We have three small storms in the forecast for next week, for a total of three more inches of snow. As Tesco has been telling us since 1993, "Every little helps."
(as long as my bruised ribs and knee heal up from a fall on the icy highway on Monarch Pass [goofy])
LOOKING FOR WETTER WEATHER? LONG RANGE
FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT BIG PATTERN CHANGES STARTING AROUND
MARCH 8TH.
IN THE LONGER TERM RANGE THE ATMOSPHERE DOES LOOK ACTIVE SO WE
WILL HAVE TO WATCH AND SEE HOW THE WEATHER SYSTEMS EVOLVE NEXT
WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK. THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER`S
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK IS SUGGESTING A GOOD PROBABILITY OF ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN THE LONG RANGE WITH ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ALSO ANTICIPATED.
Of course this is only a predication, but MUCH prefer this sort of prediction than the predictions that have hounded us for all of February.
We'll just have to see . . . .
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE THE FLOW BECOMING MORE MERIDIONAL
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE
AREA. THIS RIDGE WILL DEFLECT THE NEXT SYSTEM TO THE NORTH BUT
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF GETTING SOME RAIN FROM THE TAIL END OF
THE SYSTEM THURSDAY. MODELS IN AGREEMENT BRINGING UNSETTLED
WEATHER TO THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES
BUT THIS NEEDS TO BE TAKEN WITH A GRAIN OF SALT. IF THE FLOW DOES
BECOME MORE MERIDIONAL THERE WILL BE A TENDENCY FOR THE WEATHER
PATTERN TO STAGNATE WHICH WOULD FAVOR PERSISTENT RIDGING OVER THE
CALIFORNIA COAST.
SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK... ...ABOVE NORMAL SPRING FLOOD RISK FOR THE MID-SOUTH... A WET WEATHER PATTERN IS SET UP THIS SPRING FOR THE MID_SOUTH. BEST PROJECTIONS OF RAIN MARCH THROUGH MAY CALL FOR 3 TO 9 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THIS RAIN WILL PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL FLOODS ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, TENNESSEE RIVER, AND ALL OTHER LOCAL RIVERSI guess they're saying non-"LOCAL" rivers won't flood? [banghead] [rolleyes2]
Reminds me, the Davis Tech said he was seeing rain outside his window over in Hayward. I heard earlier this week that the forecast rains could be well above the current bottom of the snow pack. That would be bad for a couple of reasons; 1. Melting some of the snow too early, 2. Increase the run off and the chance of flooding down stream.
Northern California is about to be put directly in the cross-hairs of another so-called atmospheric river condition.