Trixology

Weather => General Weather Discussion => Topic started by: awilltx on October 07, 2015, 06:37:03 PM

Title: Accuweather's winter forecast
Post by: awilltx on October 07, 2015, 06:37:03 PM

Could be an interesting winter for some due to El Ni?o.


http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/us-winter-forecast-2015-2016-mild-northeast-california-rain/52732989 (http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/us-winter-forecast-2015-2016-mild-northeast-california-rain/52732989)


Alan

Title: Wouldn't bet on it. (Re: Accuweather's winter forecast)
Post by: elagache on October 07, 2015, 09:43:46 PM

Dear Alan and WeatherCat climate watchers,

Quote from: awilltx on October 07, 2015, 06:37:03 PM

Could be an interesting winter for some due to El Ni?o.

Thanks for posting.  It is very interesting, but I worry this forecast relies too much on the assumption that El Ni?o will produce essentially the same sort of effects as we have seen in the past.  I've seen enough changes in the climate that I don't think that a safe assumption anymore.  So I'll believe in strong rainfall in California when . . . . the rains finally come!

Cheers, Edouard

Title: Re: Accuweather's winter forecast
Post by: HantaYo on October 08, 2015, 02:18:38 AM

Another vote of "I will believe it when it comes".  All summer the forecast was for greater chance of precipitation where I live due to the forming El Nino.  But for me it was the Summer of Sprinkles.  No significant precipitation events since May.

Title: Re: Accuweather's winter forecast
Post by: WCDev on October 08, 2015, 06:28:55 PM

Hmm, I'll be on the other side of the pond next week - it'll be interesting to see how it compares to here at this time of the year (which is just turning 'chilly')

Title: Re: Accuweather's winter forecast
Post by: LesCimes on October 09, 2015, 01:20:03 AM

Quote

Hmm, I'll be on the other side of the pond next week

Hi Stu, will you be anywhere near WeatherCat fans? Seems like we all owe you a Guiness or maybe a local brew.