P.P.S. and yes, I watered the plants with melted ice! . . .
Storms thus far this winter have been fairly typical...cold and more from the Northwest. For the upcoming week, the Bay area may finally start seeing a more El Ni?o type storm track from the west- southwest with a good sub-tropical jet.
Are your ready for the Pineapple Express? You did take out flood insurance didn't you?
Looks like the the jet is on the move and you are ground zero- watch out for incoming "bombs". Just leave a few drops for Colorado. It will be interesting watching if the pattern develops and holds through the spring. Perhaps a winter/spring like 1982/1983? I still remember the Christmas Blizzard of 1982. Roads were closed for a week.
Looks like extremely dry ground where the roots had been.
. . .
Is that by any chance a 'filled' area?
It's a Minecraft tree. They come apart in blocksProbably 64 bit 'words'?
Ridge stays in place through most of next week suggesting dry conditions and near normal temps. Latest long range trends are now trending dry through next weekend with some concern as the GFS runs out through 15 days are looking drier and drier with a ridge along the West Coast. From a drought perspective we don't want to lose February for rain and mountain snow. CFS climate model shows March as above normal in relation to the ongoing El Ni?o.
Hate to see this. We've have a good snow pack replenishment so far, but our 10-day forecast here, after 3 inches of snow early this morning, calls for clear, sunny skies. Not what we need!
Dear WeatherCat drought watchers,
Well, October was essentially a complete bust, but November is off to a nice start in northern California. The promised storm of last night was indeed just the right size, not too much water that could cause damage, but enough to get the ground thoroughly wet and wash down the dust and debris. Here is the storm as recorded by my WC Storm Monitor AppleScript (I've relocated the growl notifications to read normally one column at a time from left to right.)
(http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/Storm_2015-11-02.png)
The rainfall rates were sufficient to penetrate even very dense trees, so everything truly got wet. The total rainfall is 0.65" (16.5mm) to this moment. There was even enough runoff to start refilling the creeks:
(https://canebas.smugmug.com/Nature/Wild-Flowers/Scenes-of-Autumn-2015/i-FDKQ9c8/0/L/Water%20in%20Moraga%20Creek%20after%205%20months%20-L.jpg) (https://canebas.smugmug.com/Nature/Wild-Flowers/Scenes-of-Autumn-2015/i-FDKQ9c8/A)
This creek has been completely dry since late June, so the wildlife will be very happy to have that water source back.
Now the only problem is where is the next storm. Thus far nothing expected through the 7 day forecast, but the pattern does seem more winter-like all of a sudden. We'll see.
Cheers, Edouard
I noticed that you have 11.0 mph winds considered as high winds. ??? That is a gentle breeze. Here on the Gulf coast, we do not consider winds high until they reach 20-25 mph with gusts to 35-40 mph.
Dear WeatherCat drought watchers, . . . . (http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/Custom_emoticons/desert-smiley.gif)
Definitely not getting the sort of weather I want for February. Today's high was 70.8˚. I'm sure some record highs fell. We have a strong off-shore flow and gusty wind. It is the equivalent of a Santa Ana condition for Northern California and the effect is to dry out the soil very rapidly. The moisture that was so hard won is disappearing from the upper parts of the soil and things will continue to dry in this heat.
Temperatures are supposed to moderate for the second half of the week, but no significant change in the weather pattern is so far being suggested by the forecast models.
Oh well, . . . . . Edouard (http://www.canebas.org/WeatherCat/Forum_support_documents/Custom_emoticons/pout.gif)
Heat is here in Colorado too. My snow pack has gone from 18" last week to 6" this morning. We hit a high of 54?F yesterday. 5 day forecast is more of the same. This is more like middle of March weather [sweat2]
The forecast is looking a bit better with a chance of rain starting a week from today.
I sure wish these so called climate experts would come to understand this winter ridging phenomenon. If it is a permanent feature of winter weather than what we call drought would become the new normal. It is really important to understand why this is happening.
Same in Utah. We lost a foot of snowpack over the past couple of days and made it to 50? F today.Well for my CoCoRAHs snow depth report I'll have to call a trace of snow depth real soon. Bare ground is popping up all over the place. See what this morning looks like.
QuoteThe forecast is looking a bit better with a chance of rain starting a week from today.
Similar here with snow possibility next Thursday. Looks like highs in the upper 40s and low 50s until then. My local weather model called AVIAN has flown the coop to colder environs- until the Rosy Finches return it will be hot and dry.
I wonder if this phenomenon is why the climate models show the southwest drying out? The prediction is El Nino like conditions to become permanently established and it just did not make sense, considering past El Nino events, that the southwest would dry out.
We have an inch of snow projected for this Sunday and up to 3 inches predicted for Thursday. In the meantime, our high mountain valleys have incredibly bad inversions, which will only be cleared out by the snowstorms so I am hoping they happen as forecast.
I heard on the radio today that California had a mostly normal winter and is back to dry now. Sorry Edouard.
Nice to hear Edouard. That same storm dropped 6 inches of snow in our area.
... I might be forced to get the lawn mower out of winter storage.
... I might be forced to get the lawn mower out of winter storage.
This is one of the reasons we moved into the mountains. No lawn, ergo no mowing required. I gave my lawn mower to my son-in-law when we moved up here 8 years ago. One of the best days of our lives.
Climate Prediction Center is starting to back-off on the promise of El Ni?o returningThe climate prediction center might be wrong?? Gasp!
Quote from: elagacheClimate Prediction Center is starting to back-off on the promise of El Ni?o returningThe climate prediction center might be wrong?? Gasp!They've been right so far on global warming, so they must be right on the weather forecasts 5-10 days in advance, right?
I'll crawl back into my hole . . .
I agree. The Earth's climate is obviously changing, but like you say, more drought in California is probably due to the millions of people who have moved there over the last 100 years.
I'll preface all this by saying I believe that the Hoax that is Climate Change (or is it Global Warming, Al?) is the greatest scam ever to play out in human history. It has even become its own religion to many.
Remember, there's a black cloud inside every silver lining!
Remember, there's a black cloud inside every silver lining! [blush]
...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED ACROSS AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER... .A STALLED FRONT WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO EAST ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...EXTREME WEST TENNESSEE...AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI THROUGH AT LEAST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED WHICH WILL LIKELYWe've had ~2.2 inches by 11am. At least it's not thunderstorms and heavy.
;) . . . . P.S. Ya' know, I think those folks with that broken fence are facing a crisis. I think this year they are really going to have to take down their Christmas lights! . . . . . [biggrin]
Early spring rains brought out the Texas State flower (illegal to pick on public grounds).
Found some weeds growing amongst the Bluebonnets :)
edouard, I see rice and wheat looking like that after a strong thunderstorm.
Another possibility for the 'lazy' grass could be some of those California leprechauns, they don't usually leave foot prints and are known to hop long distances.
Got this picture out the front windshield on our way home today. Five minutes later, we were in our garage and the hail started. Peak rain rate was 16+ inches per hour. Whoa!
What's it like to be in a Texas hail storm. This video show you in slow motion.
https://www.facebook.com/CBSDFW/videos/1186385171384617/
And apologies to the OP (Edouard) for hijacking his California thread to talk about Texas. He might be so busy tuning up the fuel injection on his Buick, running Windows on his MacBook to notice we helped his thread take a small detour from the West Coast to the Gulf Coast.