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WeatherCat General Discussion / Uploading Historical data to WU and CWOP
« Last post by yardy on March 22, 2024, 08:32:57 PM »
Hi, I'm a novice so please bear with me. I have been away from home for the winter and the computer was powered down while I was away. Having returned I was hoping that the data stored in the Davis Cache, would be uploaded to WU and CWOP. However looking at both the WU and CWOP websites nothing is showing up for the period prior to my return. I have 'Log Historical Uploads' turned on. So the question to the community is "does WU and CWOP accept historical records' ?  If they do, why do they not show in my online records.

In a related question, when I go away again I can set the computer to startup for say 2 hours every week using the  MacOS Terminal 'pmset' command (I didn't know I could do this) , which gives it time to download the weeks data from the cache and upload it to WU and CWOP. but if they don't take older data this method won't help. It will fill in my local WeatherCat database I agree.  I don't want to leave the computer powered up for weeks without me being here -
any suggestions ?  Thanks

Ray Yardy in the beautiful State of Maine.
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General Weather Discussion / Two more hurricane names to be retired.
« Last post by elagache on March 20, 2024, 08:27:24 PM »
Dear WeatherCat observers of extreme weather (preferably from a safe distance.)

The Weather Channel has a piece on the retiring of the names Otis and Dora from the pool of potential hurricane names in the Eastern Pacific:

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2024-03-19-hurricane-otis-dora-retired-eastern-pacific-wmo

When a hurricane is sufficiently devastating, it is felt inappropriate to use the name again.  This is decided by the World Meteorological Organization's (WMO) hurricane committee.  Worry not, replacement names have already been chosen.  O​tis will be replaced by Otilio and Dora by Debora when this Eastern Pacific hurricane name list comes up again in 2029.

That is your bit of meteorological trivia for the day!

Edouard
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General Weather Discussion / Spring Equinox. (Re: Moods of the sky . . . 2023-24)
« Last post by elagache on March 18, 2024, 09:21:12 PM »
Dear WeatherCat observers of the seasons turning,

Typically, the astronomical transitions of the seasons arrive around the 21st of their respective month.  This year's spring equinox is quite early.  It happens on the 19th for a good part of North America.  You can look up exactly when it happens for your locale on this web page:

https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/fixedtime.html?iso=20240320T0306&msg=March%20equinox%202025

Unfortunately, the locust tree behind the Canebas anemometer still hasn't started to leaf.  So my photo to commemorate the change of season looks more like a goodbye to winter than a welcoming to spring:



That might be appropriate though.  If the current forecasts hold up, old man winter isn't finished up with California just yet.

Edouard
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Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

Another month has passed and we have the latest pronouncements from da' usual suspects.  You can get all the details at the usual spot:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

This month the plot thickens a bit.  For starters the  ENSO Alert System Status is:  "El Niño Advisory / La Niña Watch."  What would appear to be contradiction is precisely what thickens the plot.

The synopsis reads: "A transition from El Niño to ENSO-neutral is likely by April-June 2024 (83% chance), with the odds of La Niña developing by June-August 2024 (62% chance). "

The Weather Channel has picked up on this and has piece written more with the mere mortal in mind:

https://weather.com/news/weather/news/2024-03-14-el-nino-la-nina-forecast-march-update-noaa

It summarizes the observations and explains some of the ramifications of a rapid transition from El Niño to La Niña.

The key part of the discussion from da' usual suspects is as follows:

"The most recent IRI plume indicates a transition to ENSO-neutral during spring 2024, with La Niña potentially developing during summer 2024. While different types of models suggest La Niña will develop, the forecast team favors the dynamical model guidance, which is slightly more accurate for forecasts made during this time of year. Even though forecasts made through the spring season tend to be less reliable, there is a historical tendency for La Niña to follow strong El Niño events."

As usual, exactly what all of this means . . . . ????  As X-Air points out, the only certain way to find out is to live through the next year - assuming of course it isn't interrupted by the Second Coming!

Edouard
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Dear X-Air and WeatherCatters unhappy with the state of the Internet,

. . .
Had to watch a 25 second ad so I could view the 42 second vid. [banghead] I think one could type the four(?) text blocks in less time. [rolleyes2] But the graphics do tell the story with more emotion? :)

Regrettably, I could not agree more.  My first contact with what is now the Internet was in college when it was mostly a "gentlemen’s" domain run by academics, some government agencies, and associated contractors.  The privatization of the Internet certainly hasn't improved it and the commercialization has become darn right petty.  There is no such thing as a free lunch, but unfortunately, there wasn't the resolve to come up with a more reasonable funding model for the Internet than what we have now.  It definitely does not reflect well on the society that allowed this to happen.

Edouard
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Frightening changes! :o [cold]

Completely off-topic comment for those who dislike being counted as "eyeballs":
Had to watch a 25 second ad so I could view the 42 second vid. [banghead] I think one could type the four(?) text blocks in less time. [rolleyes2] But the graphics do tell the story with more emotion? :)
17
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

The Weather Channel has an interesting video comparing the ice coverage on the Great Lakes from 2014 to now:

https://weather.com/news/climate/video/see-great-lakes-ice-cover-now-vs-10-years-ago

It is definitely a dramatic change!

Edouard
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Thanks Steve for your contribution!

So who's next?

Edouard
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February was...
   Warmer than average (38.09°F versus an average of 30.08)
   Drier than average (0.06 in versus an average total of 2.00)
   Calmer than average (a wind run of 1,951 miles versus an average of 2,983)
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General Weather Discussion / March (Re: NWS - CPC forecasts - Winter 2024)
« Last post by elagache on March 02, 2024, 09:51:27 PM »
Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,

It is March and here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service - Climate Predication Center for the transition from winter to spring.  Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for March:



Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for March through May:



Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for March:



Here is the equivalent graph for March to May:



On to drought forecasts.  Here is the drought outlook for March:



Here is the 3 month outlook:



Sadly, these forecasts propose that more parts of the country will develop drought than those parts of the country where drought will diminish.

Regrettably, it is increasingly clear that wildfires are a year around threat.  So here are the wildfire predictions from the NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center.  As always, these come only monthly.  Since they provide an evolving picture, I'll simply display them one after the other.  Here is March:



Here is the April outlook.



Finally, here is May:



Sadly, Texas is expected to have an elevated fire risk in March for the very areas that are burning now.  At least the risk ends after the end of the month (assuming the predictions are accurate of course.)

As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . . 

Edouard
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