Author Topic: So who is going to battered by hurricane Irma?  (Read 795 times)

elagache

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Tennessee should get a nice bit of rain (Re: Battered by hurricane)
« Reply #15 on: October 07, 2017, 09:30:31 PM »
Dear X-Air and WeatherCat observers of storm activity,

As for Nate, latest forecast map shows lots of high pressure to our west & north, a cold front to push through with little precip. Had a few sprinkles this morning, not even enough to tip the bucket. We could use some rain after a nice dry harvest season! ThU32:-)

Nate is only a category 1 storm, so indeed it won't be much of a problem for anybody.  Still the National Hurricane Center is predicting between 1 and 2 inches of rain for Tennessee.  So your wish should be granted!  [rain2]

Cheers, Edouard

xairbusdriver

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Re: So who is going to battered by hurricane Irma?
« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2017, 10:39:30 PM »
Just remember, TN is a very long state (west to east), not very wide (north to south). Almost the same in the opposite directions. [lol] [440 miles long and 120 miles wide] Rather like northern CA having rain forests [rain2] and the hottest desert [sun2] in the country! ;) I noticed the animated WU consolidated radar display even has the narrow band of rain in AR moving in a northwest direction, exactly opposite of the storm (low pressure) circulation. I predict with 100% assurance that TN will get some to no rain out of Nate (and all other hurricanes for the next 106.3 yrs. Forecasts after that are cloudy!). ThU32:-) [rolleyes2]

elagache

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Fickle Nate (Re: Battered by hurricane)
« Reply #17 on: October 08, 2017, 11:47:51 PM »
Dear X-Air and WeatherCat observers of energetic weather,

Well when I wrote my posting, the National Hurricane Center was still predicting that all of Tennessee was going to get at least some rain.  However, in 12 hours they revised their forecast causing Nate to move much more to the East which leaves Tennessee indeed mostly dry.  The latest forecast leaves only the eastern most bit of Tennessee getting any rain from Nate.  It is now officially washed up as the final advisory has been issued.  However, there is a "disturbance" (official lingo) with a greater than 70% chance of becoming a hurricane in the Atlantic.  So as usual . . . . . .

Stay tuned!

Cheers, Edouard  [cheers1]

elagache

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Who is in harm's way of Ophelia? (Re: Battered by hurricane)
« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2017, 11:56:57 PM »
Dear WeatherCat tropical disturbance watchers,

Those of you who were "staying tuned" might have noticed that the "disturbance" (official lingo) with a greater than 70% chance of becoming a hurricane eventually became hurricane Ophelia.  Considering that Ophelia is Hamlet's "girlfriend" in the Shakespeare play, perhaps it isn't too much of a surprise that this hurricane is now headed toward that general location.  According to the current National Hurricane Center prediction, Ireland appears to be facing hurricane force winds on Monday.  By Tuesday, even our fearless leader Stu might have more rain and wind than his weather instruments have encountered in a long while.  Stu might even have some new records for WeatherCat to chalk up.

So which of you on da' other side of da' pond is in harm's way of Ophelia?

Never a dull moment in WeatherCatLand! . . . . .  [biggrin]

Cheers, Edouard  [cheers1]

elagache

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Ophelia and next act? (Re: Battered by hurricane)
« Reply #19 on: October 14, 2017, 10:53:58 PM »
Dear WeatherCat tropical disturbance watchers,

The latest forecast for Ophelia leaves it plowing over Scotland on Tuesday.  The forecast cone could bring it almost on top of Stu stations with winds potentially at hurricane strength.  That should give his installation of WeatherCat a healthy workout!

In the meantime, the National Hurricane Center has issued a statement on yet another "disturbance:"

Quote
A broad area of low pressure centered just east of the northern Leeward Islands is accompanied by numerous showers and squalls mainly to the east of the center. This activity is expected to spread over the Leeward Islands and the Virgin Islands today and Sunday.  Upper-level winds are expected to remain unfavorable for development during the next couple of days, but the environment could turn a little more favorable for some development early next week when the system begins to move northward and then recurves over the west-central Atlantic Ocean.
  • Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

So if you thought we might finally be seeing the beginning of the end of the 2017 hurricane season, . . . . . . perhaps not!

Cheers, Edouard  [cheers1]