Dear WeatherCat climate watchers,
We have reached December and here is the first 1 month and 3 month forecasts from the National Weather Service -
Climate Predication Center for transition from Autumn to Winter. Here is the one month forecasts of departures from normal temperatures for December:
Like last month, this is back to a "hot everywhere" sort of forecast.
Here is the equivalent 3 months predictions of temperatures departures from normal for December through Feburary:
Once more repeating last month, this is more of the same with the curious strand of cooler than normal for the top western states all the way to the Great Lakes.
Here are the precipitation predictions of departures from normal for December:
This forecast places almost all of the country at either below normal rainfall or equal chance.
Here is the equivalent graph for December to Feburary:
It is similar but with a clearer band of positive rainfall for the states in the northern part of the country. This could be due to La Niña. If so it would appear that the rain band has been shifted further north than in previous La Niña events.
On to drought forecasts. Here is the drought outlook for December:
This is very similar to last month. In the west, drought is expected to persist or get worse in many areas. This appears to be also due to La Niña. The 3 month outlook continues this trend:
Definitely looking like difficult times in the west. Only the Pacific Northwest and the most northern edges of the Atlantic seaboard are expecting some drought relief.
Since we are at the onset of Winter, I decided to skip the wildfire forecasts. The are essentially identical to what was reported last month. These come from the
NICC - National Interagency Coordination Center, so you can look them up for yourself.
Unfortunately, these forecasts may be actually optimistic. Parts of Central and Southern California are facing Public Safety Power Shutoffs because a strong Santa Ana wind event later this week. Definitely looking like very difficult times in California and indeed all over the West.
As usual, Like it or not, such are the forecasts we are facing . . . .
Edouard